Snow Day (Bus Cancellation) Outlook for Monday, December 6, 2021
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The first winter storm of the season has started to affect Southern Ontario with a wide range of precipitation on Sunday and is expected to continue into Monday. This includes the potential for accumulating snow for Northeastern Ontario and northern parts of Central Ontario along with some freezing rain/sleet for the rest of Central Ontario and into Eastern Ontario. As a result, the road conditions in the area will likely be quite treacherous and prompt some school bus cancellations for Monday morning. Predicting where the cancellations will occur is quite hard with this storm in particular due to the timing as it appears the changing over from snow/freezing rain to regular rain will occur for most areas overnight which should somewhat improve conditions.
We do believe that the North Bay, Sudbury and Parry Sound corridor is practically guaranteed a snow day on Monday based on the heavy snowfall accumulation overnight that will continue into the morning. Further south, a zone stretching from Muskoka through Haliburton/Bancroft and into the Ottawa Valley will likely see cancellations so we’ve given them a 75% chance. However, as we said, this will be heavily dependent on road conditions rather than the current weather as the switch over to rain will have likely occurred several hours before the decision is made. So it’s possible that not everyone sees a snow/ice day in this area especially if the rain is able to clean off the road (even though rural roads tend to stay icy for quite some time).
The chance of a snow/ice day diminishes the further south you go where less wintery precipitation is expected or the switch over will occur late this evening which is unlikely to impact the morning commute with heavy rain throughout the night. Areas such as Simcoe County/Kawartha Lakes into the Dundalk Highlands and Grey-Bruce ranges from a 25-50% chance of bus cancellations as there is a freezing rain threat tonight, but should be done well before morning. The rest of Southern Ontario is unlikely to see bus cancellations with mainly just rain from this system.
If there are any cancellations tomorrow morning, you can be sure we’ll be up bright and early beginning at 6 AM with our bus cancellations live blog to keep you updated.
Disclaimer: Instant Weather has zero authority when it comes to bus and school closures. It is completely up to the school boards, bus companies, and local authorities as well as being up to parents to decide what is best for their children. This is simply our best guess based on our forecast. Also note that due to the current pandemic, some school boards have changed their policies on school bus cancellations. Some will continue the school day in a virtual format should there be school bus cancellations - check with your local board for more details.
