Snow Day (Bus Cancellation) Outlook for Friday, February 25, 2022
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NOTE: You can click on the map to open a zoomable image which might be easier to read due to the small labels. If you prefer our old city label format, we have included that further down this article.
A widespread snowfall event is expected to affect Southern Ontario during the morning and afternoon on Friday. This will likely result in some school bus cancellations, but the amount of snow expected is right on the line for more widespread cancellations. Usually, anything over 15cm would result in almost guaranteed cancellations.
With this system, we’re expecting between 8-16cm with most of that occurring after the decision to cancel buses is made in the morning. It will require each school board to be proactive and right now most regions only have a travel advisory in effect from Environment Canada so they likely won’t view it as severe. There is a snowfall warning in effect for parts of Eastern Ontario and that school board tends to take weather alerts seriously so we believe they have a 75-90% chance of a snow day.
Outside of that, we have given a 50% chance for the more rural boards that tend to have a lower threshold for cancellations. The more urban school boards around the GTA range from 10-25% as we don’t believe the amount of snow expected will meet their higher threshold, but a few may surprise us depending on the road conditions.
As you can see, there is a higher amount of uncertainty regarding this forecast since it’s right on the line. If we see Environment Canada add some regions to the snowfall warning by morning then that would significantly increase the chance of a snow day. Otherwise, it’s a widespread ‘flip a coin’ day so don’t count on a snow day, but it’s not out of the question.
If there are any cancellations tomorrow morning, you can be sure we’ll be up bright and early beginning at 6 AM with our bus cancellations live blog to keep you updated.
FORECAST MAP WITH CITY LABELS
Disclaimer: Instant Weather has zero authority when it comes to bus and school closures. It is completely up to the school boards, bus companies, and local authorities as well as being up to parents to decide what is best for their children. This is simply our best guess based on our forecast. Also note that due to the current pandemic, some school boards have changed their policies on school bus cancellations. Some will continue the school day in a virtual format should there be school bus cancellations - check with your local board for more details.
