HIGH RISK: Environment Canada Forecasting 2-6cm Hail & Risk For Tornadoes (Sun, July 10, 2022)
/TODAY (Sun, July 10th, 2022): Another day, another severe thunderstorm risk! Environment Canada has once again issued their forecast map for today and this includes a “high” risk area in orange (B) for the Brandon and Dauphin regions. Environment Canada has highlighted a risk for 90-100km/h damaging wind gusts, 3-6cm tennis ball sized hail, lightning, and the risk for tornadoes.
In the yellow region (A), which includes the Winnipeg areas, the risks are 2-4cm hail, lightning, and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.
Here’s some highlights from Environment Canada’s scientific forecast: “Early this afternoon… over extreme southeastern Manitoba, the environment will be supportive of severe thunderstorms… Thunderstorms that develop in this environment will likely become severe with all modes of severe weather possible. A couple caveats to this set-up though, the storm environment may be polluted by cloud from morning convection. As well, the cold front moves through southeastern Manitoba early this afternoon so there may not be enough time for daytime heating to fully destabilize the environment. After the cold front moves through, the risk fully moves into northwestern Ontario.
The next area of convective initiation will be focused over eastern Saskatchewan and western Manitoba… ….storms that develop in this environment are likely to become severe with hail and wind the predominant threats. However… ….an isolated tornado is possible.”
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Be safe today folks and have a plan if you’re in the path of these severe thunderstorms!