‘Snow Day’ Forecast: Snow Squalls on Monday Likely to Cancel School Buses in Parts of Central Ontario

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Snow squalls are anticipated to form off Georgian Bay early Monday morning, ushering in bands of heavy snowfall and diminished visibility for the Parry Sound and Muskoka region throughout the day.

Consequently, there is a likelihood of school bus cancellations in the affected areas, with a 75% probability for the Parry Sound region and a 50% chance for Muskoka and the Bruce Peninsula.

The higher probability for Parry Sound is attributed to the school board covering that region, which is known to be more responsive to weather conditions, giving us greater confidence in the likelihood of cancellations.

Presently, only a snow squall watch is in effect from Environment Canada. This alone is generally insufficient to trigger cancellations. However, if upgraded to a warning by morning, the probability of cancellations will significantly rise.


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The Kincardine, Southampton, Owen Sound, and Simcoe County area will likely need to wait until Tuesday for a potential 'snow day'. Snow squall activity for these regions is not expected until Monday evening, making cancellations on Monday unlikely.

For the rest of Southern Ontario, the likelihood of school bus cancellations is minimal, with less than a 10% chance. The impact of this event is anticipated to be confined to regions around Lake Huron and Georgian Bay.


Disclaimer: Instant Weather has zero authority when it comes to bus and school closures. It is completely up to the school boards, bus companies, local authorities, and parents to decide what is best for their children. This is our best guess based on our forecast.


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