‘Ice Day’ Forecast: Questionable Chance of School Bus Cancellations on Wednesday in Parts of Southern Ontario

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Freezing rain is currently affecting parts of Southwestern Ontario and the northern fringes of the Greater Toronto Area, and it's expected to persist past midnight. Although the freezing rain is likely to stop well before the morning school bus schedule, it could still result in icy conditions. Consequently, there's a small possibility of an ‘ice day’.

In Eastern Ontario, freezing rain is anticipated on Wednesday afternoon. The majority of this activity is expected in the late afternoon, so school bus operations on Wednesday should not be significantly impacted. However, Environment Canada might issue alerts by morning, which could lead some weather-sensitive school boards to proactively cancel buses.


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For the broader swath of Southwestern Ontario extending into the For the area around the Dundalk Highlands, including Orangeville and Wellington County, there's a 25% chance of school bus cancellations due to potentially heavy freezing rain. Moving east, the Tri-Board regions around Belleville and Kingston also have a 25% chance of cancellations. Here, freezing rain could start in the early afternoon, and this school board is more inclined to cancel buses under such conditions.

Surrounding school boards on the outskirts of the Golden Horseshoe and into Eastern Ontario face a 5-10% chance of an ‘ice day’. While it’s fairly unlikely, we cannot completely discount the possibility of a few school boards cancelling buses based on local road conditions.


Disclaimer: Instant Weather has zero authority when it comes to bus and school closures. It is completely up to the school boards, bus companies, local authorities, and parents to decide what is best for their children. This is our best guess based on our forecast.


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